Frozenbeernuts 2,332 Posted August 10, 2016 Brown, Beckham, Julio, Hopkins, and then it changes based on personal preference. These were 4 of the top 5 last year right? B marsh was the other top 5 receiver? This is not going to be this years top 5. The guy I am avoiding is Hopkins. I like Green as a top 5 and really like the idea of him being featured again with the lack of pass game options. The Bengals OC was Daltons QB coach so they do have history already. Osweiler on the other hand... he only completed a dreadful 29% of his passes over 15 yards, and that's with D Thomas and Sanders as his receivers. A qb has to at least get the ball near his receiver so a play can be made. I just don't see how Hopkins remains top 5. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
rholio 339 Posted August 10, 2016 Brown, Beckham, Julio, Hopkins, and then it changes based on personal preference. These were 4 of the top 5 last year right? B marsh was the other top 5 receiver? This is not going to be this years top 5. The guy I am avoiding is Hopkins. I like Green as a top 5 and really like the idea of him being featured again with the lack of pass game options. The Bengals OC was Daltons QB coach so they do have history already. Osweiler on the other hand... he only completed a dreadful 29% of his passes over 15 yards, and that's with D Thomas and Sanders as his receivers. A qb has to at least get the ball near his receiver so a play can be made. I just don't see how Hopkins remains top 5. Might want a look at who was throwing to Hopkins last season. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Frozenbeernuts 2,332 Posted August 10, 2016 Might want a look at who was throwing to Hopkins last season. Seriously? No shlt. I thought it was Tom Brady. For the record here, Hoyer completed 38% of his passes of 15 yards or longer. As I said, there is no way last year's top 5 is this year's top 5. If you just copy last year's results and paste them into 2016 then you are making a big mistake. Never said he was a flat out undraftable bust, just that of the top 5 receivers he seems more likely to drop out. Next time come with a better response Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
SpenceToons 70 Posted August 10, 2016 The caution that the loss of Jackson as OC might negatively impact Green's numbers was made in the Cooper thread but since there's likely to be more discussion about Green in this thread, I'll drop a response here. Green's numbers took a slight hit under Jackson, as opposed to Gruden, as Hue put more of an emphasis on the run. Green finished as the WR4 in 2012-13 under Gruden, registering 18.86 and 19.13 PPR points-per-game respectively. He finished as the WR21 (Green missed 4 games in 2014) and WR8 in 2014-15 under Jackson, registering 17.45 and 17.28 PPR points-per-game. Zampese is a QB coach so the passing game is unlikely to get short-shrift. - - - I picked Hopkins as the WR4 in the August Mock but began regretting it later that afternoon as I read Doug Orth's HOU summary included in the AFC/NFC South projections. A lot of Hopkins' blistering production came in the first half of 2015 as the Texans found themselves often trailing. Once the defense tightened up, less passes were thrown and Hopkins' numbers came back a little bit more down to earth. With HOU's 2016 schedule being favorable towards the run over the second half of the season, there may be less of an emphasis on the pass this year. I like Green as a potential WR4 for 2016 and Brandon Marshall and Keenan Allen as challengers to Hopkins for the WR5 spot. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Hawkeye21 2,454 Posted August 10, 2016 AB, Julio, OBJ, AJG and Jeffery if he plays all 16 games. Jeffery is my huge wildcard pick since he's such an injury concern this year but if he stays healthy I think he has a monster year. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
jrokh 615 Posted August 10, 2016 I'll throw sammy watkins if he stays healthy in that ring Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Frozenbeernuts 2,332 Posted August 10, 2016 AB, Julio, OBJ, AJG and Jeffery if he plays all 16 games. Jeffery is my huge wildcard pick since he's such an injury concern this year but if he stays healthy I think he has a monster year. That's the big if. Even in the third I am a bit hesitant. He already has soft tissue issues and that's where his injuries usually are. I know he played most games in his first two years, but he was also banged up a lot of the season Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Hawkeye21 2,454 Posted August 10, 2016 That's the big if. Even in the third I am a bit hesitant. He already has soft tissue issues and that's where his injuries usually are. I know he played most games in his first two years, but he was also banged up a lot of the season Oh yeah, he's a major if but I know the talent is there. I also think the targets will be there. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Frozenbeernuts 2,332 Posted August 10, 2016 Oh yeah, he's a major if but I know the talent is there. I also think the targets will be there. Oh yeah completely agree. I guess I have to take a shot in the third. If he is healthy he will be dominant. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
pee-diddy 27 Posted August 10, 2016 I could see Dez finishing in the top 5. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
TBayXXXVII 2,669 Posted August 10, 2016 I think Keenan Allen makes it into the top 5 this year. In the 8 games he played last year, he averaged 20.4 ppg which ranked a touch higher than Beckham's 20.0. If he stays healthy, I think he can definitely finish in the top 5. There are no locks, but I think the two that come the closest to that are Brown and Beckham. Julio was top 5 last year, but I really can't see them throwing the ball to him 200 times again. With Miller there, I think Houston runs more effectively and will not have a need to throw as much... or want to throw as much with Osweiler. My guess is that Hopkins may not get about 200 targets again either. Could Jones and Hopkins be top 5? Absolutely, but of the group that was top 5 last year, I think those two may not make it back this year. I think Marshall finishes in the top 5 again because no matter what, that guy always seems produce. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
LoOnAtIk 75 Posted August 10, 2016 Seriously? No shlt. I thought it was Tom Brady. For the record here, Hoyer completed 38% of his passes of 15 yards or longer. As I said, there is no way last year's top 5 is this year's top 5. If you just copy last year's results and paste them into 2016 then you are making a big mistake. Never said he was a flat out undraftable bust, just that of the top 5 receivers he seems more likely to drop out. Next time come with a better response I always like to point out Hopkins stats in the games where Hoyer didn't play... Plus Osweiler was in Denver taking over for a gimpy Peyton. If the offense was catered to noodle arm Peyton than how many deep attempts did he even have? Your stats seems a little skewed. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Kent 228 Posted August 10, 2016 Might want a look at who was throwing to Hopkins last season. Better QBs than his current one? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
LoOnAtIk 75 Posted August 10, 2016 I really like Allen Robinson. Jaguars offense seems to be on the rise is there a chance he can IMPROVE on the numbers he put up last year? I believe so. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
LoOnAtIk 75 Posted August 10, 2016 Better QBs than his current one? Brandon Weeden? TJ Yates? Stop it.... Lol Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Kent 228 Posted August 10, 2016 Brandon Weeden? TJ Yates? Stop it.... Lol Brock Osweiler? Stop it.... Lol Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
LoOnAtIk 75 Posted August 10, 2016 Brock Osweiler? Stop it.... Lol No no please elaborate on how they're better than Osweiler. I'll wait. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Frozenbeernuts 2,332 Posted August 10, 2016 I always like to point out Hopkins stats in the games where Hoyer didn't play... Plus Osweiler was in Denver taking over for a gimpy Peyton. If the offense was catered to noodle arm Peyton than how many deep attempts did he even have? Your stats seems a little skewed. I couldn't remember all the qbs besides Hoyer so I used him since I believe he had the most targets to Hopkins. My stats are accurate from the site that I used. If they are incorrect then tell me where they need to be adjusted. I fully acknowledge that he may still be top 5, just not as likely according to my point of view as some other receivers. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Maulers1973 117 Posted August 10, 2016 I am very high on Keenan Allen. Kid has skills and a good QB throwing to him. He averaged over 8 rec a game when healthy last year. 1. Brown 2. Jones 3. OBJ 4. K Allen 5. Cooper That Raiders offense is going to be dynamic. I'm high on both Cooper and Crabtree, but they obviously won't both finish top 5. Of course, Green, Hopkins and Robinson are good candidates too. Darkhorses would be DT, Alshon, Nelson, and Tate. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Kent 228 Posted August 10, 2016 No no please elaborate on how they're better than Osweiler. I'll wait. For one, Weeden amd Yates proved they could chuck it up and hope Deandre would come down with it. Osweiler has proven one thing...he's awful. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
LoOnAtIk 75 Posted August 10, 2016 I couldn't remember all the qbs besides Hoyer so I used him since I believe he had the most targets to Hopkins. My stats are accurate from the site that I used. If they are incorrect then tell me where they need to be adjusted. I fully acknowledge that he may still be top 5, just not as likely according to my point of view as some other receivers. Your stats aren't wrong and if they are I wouldn't know. I just know that in the 5 or 6 games without Hoyer, Hopkins still balled out. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
LoOnAtIk 75 Posted August 10, 2016 For one, Weeden amd Yates proved they could chuck it up and hope Deandre would come down with it. Osweiler has proven one thing...he's awful. FACTS... Lol Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Kent 228 Posted August 10, 2016 FACTS... Lol I'll assume you're a homer, and I hope the Texans never lose a game this year and win the Super Bowl. But in fantasy none of that matters. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ray_T 786 Posted August 10, 2016 Brown, Beckham, Julio, Hopkins, and then it changes based on personal preference. These were 4 of the top 5 last year right? B marsh was the other top 5 receiver? This is not going to be this years top 5. The guy I am avoiding is Hopkins. I like Green as a top 5 and really like the idea of him being featured again with the lack of pass game options. The Bengals OC was Daltons QB coach so they do have history already. Osweiler on the other hand... he only completed a dreadful 29% of his passes over 15 yards, and that's with D Thomas and Sanders as his receivers. A qb has to at least get the ball near his receiver so a play can be made. I just don't see how Hopkins remains top 5. Agree. I think I made a similar point in the Lamar Miller thread as well. We cannot discount the possibility that the QB change wont be good for Hopkins. I'm not about to downgrade his ranking substantially because of it, but I'm not about to predict Hopkins will have a career year either. I'm projecting slightly less than last years stats, but acknowledging that there may be a bit more risk with him. That being said, as a Hopkins owner in a keeper league.... if I can swing a trade for Brown, Julio, or Odell Beckham Jr. (or similar value) I'd prefer to let someone else assume the risk there. I dont know how easy it would be to make a deal like this, but my plan is to try. If I have to throw in a minor asset or a couple of auction dollars to make it happen, then so be it. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
weepaws 3,346 Posted August 10, 2016 Hope you can't trade Hopkins for either , Brown Beckham Jr or for J Jones , what does that say about the other people in that league . Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Frozenbeernuts 2,332 Posted August 10, 2016 Hope you can't trade Hopkins for either , Brown Beckham Jr or for J Jones , what does that say about the other people in that league . Oh no trading the 4th ranked receiver for the third. Who in their right mind would do such a thing?? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Skinny_Bastard 159 Posted August 10, 2016 OBJ Brown Julio AJ Dez Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
tanatastic 2,062 Posted August 10, 2016 Half of everyones top 6 wrs will finish outside the top 10 this year. Throw darts or make guesstimates, doesnt really matter. Just know that its gonna happen. Be sure to load up on some of those next few tier wrs too to catch the ones who replace them. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
LoOnAtIk 75 Posted August 10, 2016 I'll assume you're a homer, and I hope the Texans never lose a game this year and win the Super Bowl. But in fantasy none of that matters. I'm a dolphins fan. 0 horses in this race. I'm just saying, idk how you can conclude that a QB is awful after just 300 pass attempts. 11 TDs to 6 INTs. As a person who's watched Trannyhill for 5 years I certainly know stats can be misleading. But let's not forget many QBs struggle their first go around. Everyone here refers to his numbers on the Broncos where he was essentially playing the role of caretaker / game manager. New team, different scheme, who knows? Kent does. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
LoOnAtIk 75 Posted August 10, 2016 I really don't think there's any risk to Hopkins. If Osweiler stinks it up and they change QBs it won't be much different to what he endured last year. Plus he's never hurt. That alone is why I would take him over Dez, Jordy, AJ, and Keenan. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
LoOnAtIk 75 Posted August 10, 2016 Half of everyones top 6 wrs will finish outside the top 10 this year. Throw darts or make guesstimates, doesnt really matter. Just know that its gonna happen. Be sure to load up on some of those next few tier wrs too to catch the ones who replace them. I.e. Last year's Allen Robinson. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
jgcrawfish 232 Posted August 10, 2016 It's Brown, Julio J Beckham Jr Then throw a dart at any of: Dez, Nuk, AJG, Marshall, Cooper, Keenan Allen or Jordy Nelson Anybody who says they know is wishful thinking. As Chong Li pointed out, 6 of last years top 10 will drop out and nobody can predict injuries. I prefer to look at like this: Roethlisberger Ryan Manning Romo Osweiler Fitzpatrick Carr Rivers Rodgers For my money, I'm going with Brown, Julio, OBJ, Allen and Jordy as the dark horse. If almost everything else is equal, give me the best QB's throwing it. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Kent 228 Posted August 10, 2016 I'm a dolphins fan. 0 horses in this race. I'm just saying, idk how you can conclude that a QB is awful after just 300 pass attempts. 11 TDs to 6 INTs. As a person who's watched Trannyhill for 5 years I certainly know stats can be misleading. But let's not forget many QBs struggle their first go around. Everyone here refers to his numbers on the Broncos where he was essentially playing the role of caretaker / game manager. New team, different scheme, who knows? Kent does. I'm just puzzled that not only are Miller and Hopkins not holding more neutral in Adp...they are moving way up the board. Fantasy in large part is how to properly measure risk. For some reason this isn't being factored by some with regards to Osweiler's impact. Of his minimal attempts he's looked awful and been benched for a guy with no feeling in his fingers. If he had looked good it's a different story. I'd rather you give the board insights on Ajayi and Foster rather than continue this debate. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
weepaws 3,346 Posted August 10, 2016 Oh no trading the 4th ranked receiver for the third. Who in their right mind would do such a thing??Didn't you say you where going to avoid Hopkins ? Now you think that they should trade away either , Brown or Beckham Jr or J Jones for a wr that you said you are avoiding ? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
LoOnAtIk 75 Posted August 10, 2016 I'm just puzzled that not only are Miller and Hopkins not holding more neutral in Adp...they are moving way up the board. Fantasy in large part is how to properly measure risk. For some reason this isn't being factored by some with regards to Osweiler's impact. Of his minimal attempts he's looked awful and been benched for a guy with no feeling in his fingers. If he had looked good it's a different story. I'd rather you give the board insights on Ajayi and Foster rather than continue this debate. Benched for a guy lol P.s. I post what I want, as should you. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Kent 228 Posted August 10, 2016 Benched for a guy lol P.s. I post what I want, as should you. Help the board with some homer Dolphin insight. I'm serious. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
tanatastic 2,062 Posted August 10, 2016 Didn't you say you where going to avoid Hopkins ? Now you think that they should trade away either , Brown or Beckham Jr or J Jones for a wr that you said you are avoiding ? He just means they are so close that its pointless to nitpick between them too much. Its not like trading Julio for Sanu. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BoxFullofJoel 3 Posted August 10, 2016 Some rare WR are QB proof. Hopkins and Marshall lead the list. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
weepaws 3,346 Posted August 10, 2016 Ok I understand that , but he did start out this thread saying he is going to avoid Hopkins . Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
weepaws 3,346 Posted August 10, 2016 So you would rank Marshall the same if Geno was the Jets Qb ? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites