12th Man 884 Posted June 27, 2018 Anyone think since it's an election year, Ole Mitch will suggest that the senate hold off on voting for a justice until after the election? Wow. Dumb. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
SenatorRock 708 Posted June 27, 2018 5 Conservatives 4 Liberals Replace a Conservative with a Conservative, and the math doesn't change very much. I don't follow the courts too closely, but Kennedy has been the "swing" vote on some issues, meaning he doesn't always side with the 4 conservative judges. Replace him with someone who is more likely to vote conservative and the court goes from 4.75-4.25 to 5-4. Slight improvement for conservative America. Also, the left has this fantasy that they will take back the Senate, which allows them to do one of two things: 1. Impeach Trump, and Pence, making Nancy Pelosi president (because they will also take back the House, duh). With a D President they will then appoint a liberal judge. (I may have my succession rules off base but you get the point) 2. Gain enough Senate seats to prevent a 51 vote confirmation. Stall, like McConnell did, except do it for 18 months instead of 9 months. Dem candidate wins in 2020 and then a liberal judge is appointed. The impact on SCOTUS rulings will be minimal short term (long term could be significant). The impact on the left's crushed hopes and dreams will be maximal. (at least for the deranged ones) Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
cyclone24 1,836 Posted June 27, 2018 5 Conservatives 4 Liberals Replace a Conservative with a Conservative, and the math doesn't change very much. Oh I thought he occasionally sided with liberals? Maybe not. Admittedly I didn't know much about him or his rulings. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Mr. Hand 482 Posted June 27, 2018 Oh I thought he occasionally sided with liberals? Maybe not. Admittedly I didn't know much about him or his rulings. I think he did swing the other way at times. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
cbfalcon 824 Posted June 27, 2018 I don't follow the courts too closely, but Kennedy has been the "swing" vote on some issues, meaning he doesn't always side with the 4 conservative judges. Replace him with someone who is more likely to vote conservative and the court goes from 4.75-4.25 to 5-4. Slight improvement for conservative America. I know what YOUR answer will be, but do we really want an almost guaranteed 5-4 vote on every issue with us knowing exactly who is voting which way as soon as we hear what the case is about? I want the Supreme Court to be above politics. I know any justice will have leanings, but shouldn't we all want 9 "swing votes"? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Voltaire 4,593 Posted June 27, 2018 I think he did swing the other way at times. Often at the worst times. Affirmative Craption needs to die. Also all this gay crap is on him. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Strike 4,097 Posted June 27, 2018 So if Ruth dies in 2020 and the Republicans still control Congress, Mitch will hold off until after the election? That's a couple years away. We can discuss it then if it happens. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
cbfalcon 824 Posted June 27, 2018 Oh I thought he occasionally sided with liberals? Maybe not. Admittedly I didn't know much about him or his rulings. He was a Conservative, but from my understanding, yes he was the only person on the Supreme Court that would ever vote the other way. But that just means it was 4-4, with 1 guy that leans right. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
cbfalcon 824 Posted June 27, 2018 That's a couple years away. We can discuss it then if it happens. Ha. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
cyclone24 1,836 Posted June 27, 2018 I think he did swing the other way at times. Mmmmm.... sounds hot. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Mr. Hand 482 Posted June 27, 2018 Mmmmm.... sounds hot. Bravo Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Voltaire 4,593 Posted June 27, 2018 Here's the cheatsheet: 4 Conservatives: Roberts, Thomas, Alito, and Gorsuch vs 4 Liberals: Ginsburg, Breyer, Potatomayor, and Kagan Kennedy could go either way 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
iam90sbaby 2,150 Posted June 27, 2018 Ben Shapiro. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Voltaire 4,593 Posted June 27, 2018 Ben Shapiro. Perfect Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Voltaire 4,593 Posted June 27, 2018 Mitch will probably schedule the vote just before the elections in November. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
posty 2,315 Posted June 27, 2018 At FBGs you'd think the world was ending based on the amount of unhinged crying going on about this. It is definitely funny to read... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
SenatorRock 708 Posted June 27, 2018 Kennedy was the swing vote on gay marriage. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Filthy Fernadez 2,696 Posted June 27, 2018 Loretta Lynch stated her interest before......overheard it on a tarmac somewhere. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Filthy Fernadez 2,696 Posted June 27, 2018 Kennedy was the swing vote on gay marriage. So Kennedy does swing both ways. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
SenatorRock 708 Posted June 27, 2018 I know what YOUR answer will be, but do we really want an almost guaranteed 5-4 vote on every issue with us knowing exactly who is voting which way as soon as we hear what the case is about? I want the Supreme Court to be above politics. I know any justice will have leanings, but shouldn't we all want 9 "swing votes"? Given the current state of the left: -not accepting a fairly elected president -attempted to prevent president-elect from being inaugurated -district courts obstructing Trump's every move (which all eventually are shot down by SCOTUS... travel ban anyone?) -spying on a political oppoinent -attempt to censor anyone who disagrees -attempting to segregate anyone who disagrees -encouraging harassment and violence against anyone who disagrees -tranny bathrooms -trannies taking over women sports -impeachment by any means necessary despite lack of a crime -I could go on but you get the point We need a court that is going to err on the side of caution and constitution in these unstable times. If the left was not so radical and volatile (they are currently calling for violence on people who disagree) then I would be cool with swing votes. Right now this country needs a conservative balance. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Hardcore troubadour 12,958 Posted June 27, 2018 Elections have consequences. Thanks Hillary! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
kilroy69 1,027 Posted June 27, 2018 The dems working theory now is that because MIDTERM elections are coming up the Republicans should not vote on a candidate. Hahahahahahaha Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
kilroy69 1,027 Posted June 27, 2018 This is a REALLY big deal. In order to get neil gorsuch approved the republicans changed the rules of the filibuster. He was already in the pipeline and trump had a reason to nominate someone who could get passed through on both sides. He no longer has the threat of filibuster and now he can nominate ANY conservative he wants with no worries. He can change the way the court rules for the rest of most of our lives. Take into account that Ruth Bader Ginsberg will either die or retire within the next 6.5 years and the court could be conservative for a long, long time. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sho Nuff 720 Posted June 27, 2018 Given the current state of the left: -not accepting a fairly elected president -attempted to prevent president-elect from being inaugurated -district courts obstructing Trump's every move (which all eventually are shot down by SCOTUS... travel ban anyone?) -spying on a political oppoinent -attempt to censor anyone who disagrees -attempting to segregate anyone who disagrees -encouraging harassment and violence against anyone who disagrees -tranny bathrooms -trannies taking over women sports -impeachment by any means necessary despite lack of a crime -I could go on but you get the point We need a court that is going to err on the side of caution and constitution in these unstable times. If the left was not so radical and volatile (they are currently calling for violence on people who disagree) then I would be cool with swing votes. Right now this country needs a conservative balance. your list lies as much as phurfurs Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Mr. Hand 482 Posted June 27, 2018 your list lies as much as phurfurs He’s right Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Filthy Fernadez 2,696 Posted June 27, 2018 Trump said he's going with someone on his list already. Gowdy isn't but he might be an add on. Q Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Voltaire 4,593 Posted June 27, 2018 It is definitely funny to read... Thanks https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/767468-scotus-thread-justice-anthony-kennedy-is-retiring/ Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Voltaire 4,593 Posted June 27, 2018 Take into account that Ruth Bader Ginsberg will either die or retire within the next 6.5 years and the court could be conservative for a long, long time. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
kilroy69 1,027 Posted June 27, 2018 your list lies as much as phurfursdude. His list is the reason why people hate democrats. Straight up. You are blinded if you can't see this. What should pisss you off to bo end? The Democrats did this to themselves. They could have filled these 2 seats and ginsburgs. She would have retired if a Democrat took office. But the DNC knew best. They KNEW that running clinton was right...for them. Because of their hubris this is what you get. Oh and he IS going to pull a second term. Only 2 sitting presidents in modern history lost their re-election bid. The Democrats changed the course of history with their poor choices. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sho Nuff 720 Posted June 27, 2018 dude. His list is the reason why people hate democrats. Straight up. You are blinded if you can't see this. What should pisss you off to bo end? The Democrats did this to themselves. They could have filled these 2 seats and ginsburgs. She would have retired if a Democrat took office. But the DNC knew best. They KNEW that running clinton was right...for them. Because of their hubris this is what you get. Oh and he IS going to pull a second term. Only 2 sitting presidents in modern history lost their re-election bid. The Democrats changed the course of history with their poor choices. Well... A. One of them should have been filled by Obama but McConnel pulled his BS B. His list isnt true though...like its actually false. He is taking a lot of liberties with the truth just as phurfur does with his. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
supermike80 1,342 Posted June 27, 2018 Does the senate have enough votes to confirm without the dems blocking it or holding it up forever ? I honestly dont know the head count Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
supermike80 1,342 Posted June 27, 2018 https://www.cnn.com/2018/06/27/politics/scotus-partisanship-poll/index.html THIS is what CNN has as an article. My god I hate that news organization. Because, you see, since a republican President can nominate Kennedy's replacement, the whole process is flawed. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Hardcore troubadour 12,958 Posted June 27, 2018 Are you thinking that was a serious inquiry...cause if you were.... W W Schumer thinks it's a good idea. Dumb and dumber. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
cbfalcon 824 Posted June 27, 2018 Does the senate have enough votes to confirm without the dems blocking it or holding it up forever ? I honestly dont know the head count Republicans hold a 51-49 advantage. Mitch went nuclear so all yo have to do now is win by 1 vote. Speculation is McCain won't make it to a vote (now 50-49). So in theory, if the Republicans lose one vote (Flake has made overtures, Alaska lady could be swayed).......but we are in a Culture War, so I just assume this falls 100% along party lines now and forever. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
drobeski 3,061 Posted June 27, 2018 https://www.cnn.com/2018/06/27/politics/scotus-partisanship-poll/index.html THIS is what CNN has as an article. My god I hate that news organization. Because, you see, since a republican President can nominate Kennedy's replacement, the whole process is flawed. the left out "retarded" before Americans. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
supermike80 1,342 Posted June 27, 2018 Republicans hold a 51-49 advantage. Mitch went nuclear so all yo have to do now is win by 1 vote. Speculation is McCain won't make it to a vote (now 50-49). So in theory, if the Republicans lose one vote (Flake has made overtures, Alaska lady could be swayed).......but we are in a Culture War, so I just assume this falls 100% along party lines now and forever. Gotta think Trump is in a stronger position to push the party that he was a few months ago. So yeah, I see it falling along party lines as well. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Hardcore troubadour 12,958 Posted June 27, 2018 Now Trump has more leverage for the wall. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
SenatorRock 708 Posted June 27, 2018 Thanks https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/767468-scotus-thread-justice-anthony-kennedy-is-retiring/ So opie is the fbg version of sho? (not his intelligence or style, just the odds) One against the world. I wonder if he posts here. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
EternalShinyAndChrome 2,741 Posted June 27, 2018 Heads are exploding at FBGs. The hysteria over there is off the charts right now. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Mr. Hand 482 Posted June 27, 2018 The hysteria over there is off the charts right now. It’s insane. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites