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The Real timschochet

Trump talk only- no Eagles talk allowed (Steelers talk is OK though)

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6 minutes ago, The Real timschochet said:

It’s pretty high. Getting higher all the time. 

So no specifics? Ok Timala.  

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1 hour ago, squistion said:

Who is doing this "honest polling" you keep referring to?

Emperor JonMx only choses the polling he views to be right as honest. 

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2 minutes ago, zsasz said:

Emperor JonMx only choses the polling he views to be right as honest. 

⬆️ Who is this jerkoff? They from FBG’s? 

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23 minutes ago, zsasz said:

Emperor JonMx only choses the polling he views to be right as honest. 

Yeah, you completely ignored your liberal pal Tim who is THE KING of only believing polls that favor his choice.

IIf you were willing to call him out for that you might have some credibility but you never have so GTFO, troll. 🖕

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17 minutes ago, jonmx said:

$1000 that Trump wins the election, barring an assassination.

No thanks. I know you’re good for it. But while I feel good about this it’s only about 55%-45% in my mind and that’s not enough to risk $1000.00. 
 

Besides, if Trump wins we will both need every penny since the economy will be in terrible shape after the new tariffs next year. 

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12 minutes ago, Sean Mooney said:

Trump will win PA

If he does he likely wins the election. Which I know you think will happen anyhow. But he won’t win PA. She’s ahead there. She has been for several weeks.  Be of good cheer. 

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1 minute ago, The Real timschochet said:

If he does he likely wins the election. Which I know you think will happen anyhow. But he won’t win PA. She’s ahead there. She has been for several weeks.  Be of good cheer. 

I live in PA. I think the polling is off

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4 minutes ago, The Real timschochet said:

If he does he likely wins the election. Which I know you think will happen anyhow. But he won’t win PA. She’s ahead there. She has been for several weeks.  Be of good cheer. 

Harris has a chance to win Michigan but she is toast in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin 

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10 minutes ago, Sean Mooney said:

I live in PA. I think the polling is off

Where are you at?

I think PA will be very close.

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7 minutes ago, Sean Mooney said:

Between Philly and Harrisburg

I see. I’m in Fishtown. They call me Mr. Philly. :bandana: 

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1 hour ago, jonmx said:

$1000 that Trump wins the election, barring an assassination.

Does "win" mean gets the most electoral college votes when recognized state delegates report the votes to the Senate for recordation?  Seems some clarity may be in order if there were to be a bet.

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58 minutes ago, The Real timschochet said:

No thanks. I know you’re good for it. But while I feel good about this it’s only about 55%-45% in my mind and that’s not enough to risk $1000.00. 
 

Besides, if Trump wins we will both need every penny since the economy will be in terrible shape after the new tariffs next year. 

That would be enough for me to risk it, if i firmly believed those odds.  That said, each man must determine their own risk tolerance/risk aversion for themselves.

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44 minutes ago, MDC said:

Where are you at?

I think PA will be very close.

 

43 minutes ago, Sean Mooney said:

Between Philly and Harrisburg

Don't count out Philly, Pittsburgh and Scranton /Wilkes Barre  bussing blacks to poling stations.  Never give up Sean.  Never give up.

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1 hour ago, jonmx said:

$1000 that Trump wins the election, barring an assassination.

You still believe he won the last election and you think someone is going to be dumb enough to bet with you?

Zero, absolute zero chance you will ever accept Trump losing in November. 

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4 minutes ago, Alias Detective said:

 

Don't count out Philly, Pittsburgh and Scranton /Wilkes Barre  bussing blacks to poling stations.  Never give up Sean.  Never give up.

I don't care who wins the election. My life won't change all that much one way or the other.

And there is no bussing of blacks to polling stations. Don't make up stories. 

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5 minutes ago, Alias Detective said:

 

Don't count out Philly, Pittsburgh and Scranton /Wilkes Barre  bussing blacks to poling stations.  Never give up Sean.  Never give up.

How dare they give people a drive to the polls? Next thing you know, they’ll be bussing church groups and residents of the old age home.

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8 minutes ago, Fnord said:

You still believe he won the last election and you think someone is going to be dumb enough to bet with you?

Zero, absolute zero chance you will ever accept Trump losing in November. 

I think the money would need to be held by a neutral third party and the definition of "win" would have to be clearly established on an objective and observable standard, and the ruling of the bet holder would have to be agreed to be final.  In the end it does not mattefr as Tim has already declined the offer and it seems the offer was Tim specific, though i suppose that is open to interpretation.

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13 hours ago, The Real timschochet said:

Nope. I’m sure he thought it was a mistake like I do. But you’re kind of an idiot for bringing that up because it has no bearing on the catastrophic new tariffs that Trump is proposing. 

Tim:  Trump isn't going to do ridiculous tariffs like 20% on everything etc.  This is Trump doing his "art of the deal."  He's going to try to use it as a starting position in talks with other countries.  HTH

 

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12 minutes ago, Sean Mooney said:

I don't care who wins the election. My life won't change all that much one way or the other.

And there is no bussing of blacks to polling stations. Don't make up stories. 

 

12 minutes ago, MDC said:

How dare they give people a drive to the polls? Next thing you know, they’ll be bussing church groups and residents of the old age home.

Is it or isn't it happening?

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13 minutes ago, MDC said:

How dare they give people a drive to the polls? Next thing you know, they’ll be bussing church groups and residents of the old age home.

Without the city hoodlums the state would not even be a close contest.

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9 minutes ago, MDC said:

How dare they give people a drive to the polls? Next thing you know, they’ll be bussing church groups and residents of the old age home.

I was born and raised in Wilkes-Barre.  The city I grew up in was heavily union blue-dog democrat -- hard-working, blue-collar, family values.  Those people, transported to today, would overwhelmingly vote for Trump.

I was just back there this past spring for the first time in, oof, a decade?  Downtown was quite depressing.  Anyway, I'd still say the old guard there will be overwhelmingly Trump, but I can't speak for the newer generation.  Zoomers suck everywhere.  :dunno: 

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1 minute ago, Alias Detective said:

Without the city hoodlums the state would not even be a close contest.

You sound like a douchenozzle.

And no they aren't bussing blacks to polling stations 

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1 minute ago, Sean Mooney said:

You sound like a douchenozzle.

And no they aren't bussing blacks to polling stations 

It's focking true asshat.

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I find it hard to believe that Pennsylvania, which was so close last time it needed 110% votes for Biden in certain Philly wards, is going to go for Harris, given the real threat to fracking that she represents.  :dunno: 

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9 minutes ago, Alias Detective said:

Without the city hoodlums the state would not even be a close contest.

As someone who lives in a city, I think you vastly overestimate the % of hoodlums who bother to vote at all. 

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Just now, MDC said:

As someone who lives in a city, I think you vastly overestimate the % of hoodlums who bother to vote at all. 

That's what ballot harvesting is for.  :thumbsup: 

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I remember watching the white van with homeless people roll up to vote in the  Bronx. Then the same van went to the next polling station.  And so on. 

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2 minutes ago, MDC said:

As someone who lives in a city, I think you vastly overestimate the % of hoodlums who bother to vote at all. 

 Common occurrence around here

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3 minutes ago, jerryskids said:

That's what ballot harvesting is for.  :thumbsup: 

Muh fraud.

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1 minute ago, TimHauck said:

 Common occurrence around here

I remember back during the 2020 riots, lots of talk about “Democrats” looting in downtowns. As somebody who lives in a city I had to laugh at anyone who saw those hood rats breaking windows on TV and thought, “Now there’s a group of reliable voters.”

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