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tanatastic

My every two years PSA on Matt Ryan. Don’t draft him this year.

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2 years ago, Matt Ryan was coming off his stellar MVP season and being drafted as a top QB. I made a post warning people to not take Ryan and predicted he would plummet back to earth, (blasphemy at the time), which he did in spectacular fashion with a dud season. He then followed that with a great season (last year). You can check the stats, he loves alternating good and bad seasons.
 

Don’t fall for it this year. When you are in those middle rounds and ready to grab that value QB, don’t make it Matty Ice, this is his year off. 

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Matt Ryan fantasy finishes - 

2008: QB15
2009: QB19
2010: QB8
2011: QB8
2012: QB7
2013: QB14
2014: QB7
2015: QB19
2016: QB2
2017: QB15
2018: QB2
2019: ? 

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Qb7 or better. 

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You might be on to something here. But aren't just about all his games in a dome this year? (I really don't know, but I think I heard it somewheres). And the dude does have an amazing indoors record. A fully healthy offense, along with an old/but new again coordinator. 

If there's gonna be a pattern breaker. This might be the one.

I play in a dynasty and contract leagues. So I'm out of the loop on redraft leagues where knowing the ADP is pretty important. What is his? Even a bad year might still be worth it if you're a waiter on the QB position.

 *FYI I own no stock in the ice man. I just like the guy, and trying to take the other side.

 

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If he was on the NY Giants, they'd be willing to keep him around 50 years though.

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I think Ryan is top 10 this year. Ridley, Jones, Sanu, and Hooper will be running all over the field this year. Ryan will be hearing 4 guys at a time yelling, "I'm open, I'm open!!!"

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Just saw that Ridley had a hammy injury.  

Not good news for a speed wr this early.  

 

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9 minutes ago, Kent said:

The analytics here aren’t great.  

It’s just a trend that hurts people every season when they either take him too high or too low. 

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I am too lazy to look it up, but I wonder how Julio's finishes match up to his on a year to year basis.

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2 hours ago, The Bard said:

I am too lazy to look it up, but I wonder how Julio's finishes match up to his on a year to year basis.

Julio has been consistently good and his success is not tied to Ryan’s. It’s a common FF folley to lower a wrs expectations if you have done so for the QB. For example, Julio’s best year, 2015, came in one of Ryan’s awful down seasons (21td 16int). Rodgers had one of his worst seasons and Adams was still top shelf. I would not change Julio’s rank at all. I’d put a pause on Ridley though.

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On 7/25/2019 at 4:36 PM, Kopy said:

You might be on to something here. But aren't just about all his games in a dome this year? (I really don't know, but I think I heard it somewheres). And the dude does have an amazing indoors record. A fully healthy offense, along with an old/but new again coordinator. 

If there's gonna be a pattern breaker. This might be the one.

I play in a dynasty and contract leagues. So I'm out of the loop on redraft leagues where knowing the ADP is pretty important. What is his? Even a bad year might still be worth it if you're a waiter on the QB position.

 *FYI I own no stock in the ice man. I just like the guy, and trying to take the other side.

 

 

This is the key. He has THIRTEEN games indoors including the first NINE games in a row to start the season. Add that to the fact that he's throwing to arguably the best WR in the game in Julio Jones, an up and comer in Calvin Ridley, a reliable veteran in Sanu and a TE who quietly had a good season last year in Hooper. Freeman and Ito Smith can catch the ball out of the backfield. He should push for top 5 this season. 

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On 8/6/2019 at 1:37 PM, The Bard said:

I am too lazy to look it up, but I wonder how Julio's finishes match up to his on a year to year basis.

Julio has remained strong based on his receptions.  If I recall, he had two horrid years in a row strictly looking at td production (still ranked highly for ppr).

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This is the year where you're wrong Tan. Ridley is the key - no one thought he'd break out like he did last year. He's Roddy White Jr & effects the entire offense. Matty Ice should be a top 8qb this year.

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2 hours ago, ralphster said:

This is the year where you're wrong Tan. Ridley is the key - no one thought he'd break out like he did last year. He's Roddy White Jr & effects the entire offense. Matty Ice should be a top 8qb this year.

Love that the previous owner in our keeper left Ridley for me. Thanks dude! 

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