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Bill E.

Megalodon Tooth Contest POTUS Edition - Congrats Supermike.

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4 hours ago, posty said:

Biden 339

I was expecting this from Voltaire, but not from you. I purposely went big on biden when this thread was started to scare everyone else away from that strategy. 

 

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Trump 328 

(I would have gone with 326 but Utilit parked his ass on 326 already, so I wanted to drop Nevada 6 but Kopy has 320 as well. Those were the two best options so, as a third option, I had to drop Minnesota or New Hampshire or add Maine and I dont see Trump losing those two in my calculation so I added Maine 2 as the least bad option. I think Virgina, Colorado, and New Mexico are trending too far blue and the others are also out of reach. The other option was beleive the polls and go parse Georgia and such for Biden numbers, but Biden can slurp my Rust Belt butthole.)

---------

Texas 38

Florida 29

Pennsylvania 20

Ohio 18

Georgia 16

Michigan 16

North Carolina 15

Arizona 11

Tennessee 11

Indiana 11

Minnesota 11

Wisconsin 11

Missouri 10

Alabama 9

South Carolina 9

Kentucky 8

Oklahoma 7

Nevada 6

Utah 6

Kansas 6

Iowa 6

Arkansas 6

Louisiana 6

Mississippi 6

Nebraska 5 (of 5)

West Virginia 5

Idaho 4

New Hampshire 4

Montana 3

Wyoming 3

South Dakota 3

North Dakota 3

Alaska 3

Maine 3 ( of 4)

 

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So Far: 

Biden

Jerryskids        281
Fandaddy        285
SuperMike        302
Fireballer        324
Mike Honcho        334
Posty        339
mtskibum        347
Taco        10000

 

Trump

Biff        275
BufordT        283
Nospk        300
TimmySmith        304
DonS        306
TBAYXXXVII        307
Shore Patrol        312
Reality        313
Kopy        320
Util99        326
Voltaire        328
Googins        333
Cdub100        334
RsderHatersRev        362
Dizkneelande        370

 

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16 hours ago, MTSkiBum said:

I was expecting this from Voltaire, but not from you. I purposely went big on biden when this thread was started to scare everyone else away from that strategy. 

 

I don't want Biden to win at all and I hope Trump pulls the upset again, but I just don't have any faith at the moment and my gut feeling is that even though he has done a lot of he promised, people are just sick of Trump the man...

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10 minutes ago, posty said:

I don't want Biden to win at all and I hope Trump pulls the upset again, but I just don't have any faith at the moment and my gut feeling is that even though he has done a lot of he promised, people are just sick of Trump the man...

No need to explain, man.  Political loyalty is one thing, but we're talk prehistoric shark teef on the line. Got to do what you got to do.

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Biden wins with 351 electoral college votes

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Hey!

What happens if more than one person has the same correct prediction?

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15 minutes ago, HTH said:

Hey!

What happens if more than one person has the same correct prediction?

That won't happen. The first person to pick gets that pick. If you pick after that person you have to pick different winner or a different EC total. You can't pick the same thing somebody else already picked. 

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1 hour ago, posty said:

I don't want Biden to win at all and I hope Trump pulls the upset again, but I just don't have any faith at the moment and my gut feeling is that even though he has done a lot of he promised, people are just sick of Trump the man...

millions at rallys/parades to day say otherwise

12 out there for biden, my mom hosted an Biden/Harris event in LA last night and proudly posted pics, I counted 12+ the person taking the picture, meanwhile 5000 marched in Beverly hills for Trump

 

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Biden

Poster FKA        271
Jerryskids        281
Fandaddy        285
SuperMike        302
Fireballer        324
Mike Honcho        334
HTH                335
Posty        339
mtskibum        347
Herbivore      351
Taco        10000

Trump

 Biff        275
BufordT        283
Nospk        300
TimmySmith        304
DonS        306
TBAYXXXVII        307
MookZ                310
Shore Patrol        312
Reality        313
Alias          318
Kopy        320
Util99        326
Voltaire        328
Cdub100        334
RsderHatersRev        362
Dizkneelande        370
Googins        405

 

These three came in late but I was not around last night to call it so if one of them would have won I will give one tooth to the real winner above and a second one to the late guess. 

Latecomers
Riversco   Trump 270
OldSchool   Trump 278
Drobs           Trump 381

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Thanks for doing this Bill!  Very generous of you.

:thumbsup:

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2 hours ago, posty said:

I don't want Biden to win at all and I hope Trump pulls the upset again, but I just don't have any faith at the moment and my gut feeling is that even though he has done a lot of he promised, people are just sick of Trump the man...

I meant I was hoping to be the only one big on biden. I do not care who wins the election other than for a sharks tooth.

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1 hour ago, MTSkiBum said:

I meant I was hoping to be the only one big on biden. I do not care who wins the election other than for a sharks tooth.

:doh:

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1 hour ago, Mike Honcho said:

Surprised by the lack of support for Libertarian Jo Jorgensen. :dunno:

MDC voted for her because he's "neutral" and really wants his vote to count.

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Trump 310

#MAGA-lo-DON-teef

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4 hours ago, MTSkiBum said:

I meant I was hoping to be the only one big on biden. I do not care who wins the election other than for a sharks tooth.

There's a lot more room for error on the Biden side and you have the polls backing that up. I just figure there's no way after the USMCA and the rioting that Trump loses support in the Rust Belt. It makes zero sense to me that Biden could beat Trump there. So then I added Minnesota because of the riots, they should have never voted for Hillary last time but the rioting will put them over. Nevada and New Hampshire are states that I don't understand all that well but they got a good look at Biden in the primary, did not want him at all, and are polling better for Trump than Michigan, which I understand better than anywhere. Then that was Utlit's number, so I was going to take Nevada out and got Kopy's number, so I added Maine.

Colorado and Virginia are effectively blue. North Carolina and Arizona are purple-ing and seem destined to join them at some point but I dunno when. I also don't understand upper New England so New Hampshire and Maine so whatever. But the Midwest, I like to think that I understand how we think. We should get redder. Trump should hold there and add Minnesota. I mean how in the fock do we vote for Biden? I hear Trump is coming back to my old stomping grounds: Macomb County, Michigan, he may be there now as I type this. We're usually the key to the state.

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5 hours ago, RaiderHaters Revenge said:

millions at rallys/parades to day say otherwise

12 out there for biden, my mom hosted an Biden/Harris event in LA last night and proudly posted pics, I counted 12+ the person taking the picture, meanwhile 5000 marched in Beverly hills for Trump

 

I guess I won't be as gentle next time I'm with your mom, then.  B1tch needs to learn. 

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14 hours ago, Bill E. said:

So Far: 

Biden

Jerryskids        281
Fandaddy        285
SuperMike        302
Fireballer        324
Mike Honcho        334
Posty        339
mtskibum        347
Taco        10000

 

Trump

Biff        275
BufordT        283
Nospk        300
TimmySmith        304
DonS        306
TBAYXXXVII        307
Shore Patrol        312
Reality        313
Kopy        320
Util99        326
Voltaire        328
Googins        333
Cdub100        334
RsderHatersRev        362
Dizkneelande        370

 

Since I was boxed in by Voltaire and Cdub, and after seeing the momentum of the MAGA Train, I would like to bump mine up to 405 for Trump (really 438 but we'll go with 405 since nobody else is over 400)

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Oh I didn't even see this thread.  I know my pick doesn't count.

Best choice is Trump 270.  Its not that I predict it will be 270, its just that there are several scenarios where we hit 270.

Also, please note that faithless electors are real.  We won't know the true tally until the electors actually vote in December.  In 2016, Hillary suffered 5 faithless electors and Trump had 0.  Biden could reach 274 on election nite, but suffer 5 faithless electors and actually not reach 270.  That would mean congress picks.

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2016 maps where small changes means Trump ends at 270:

1. Trump wins MN and NV and Biden wins MI, PA and GA
2. Biden wins PA and MI
3. Trump wins MN and Biden wins WI, MI and PA
4. Trump wins NV and MN and Biden wins MI, PA, ME-2 and NC
5. Trump wins NV and PA and Biden wins WI, MI, ME-2 and NC
6. Trump wins NV, PA and MI and Biden wins WI, NC, ME-2 and GA
7. Trump wins MN and Biden wins FL, GA and ME-2
8. Trump wins NV and Biden wins AZ, MI and NC
9. Trump wins NV and MN and Biden wins AZ, WI, MI and NC
10. Trump wins MN and Biden wins AZ, PA and NC
 

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8 hours ago, drobeski said:

Trump 381

See below

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6 hours ago, Old School said:

Trump 278

See below

 

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Thanks for offering up this contest @Bill E....  Just another contest that I will lose and hopefully for sure on this one...

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12 hours ago, riversco said:

Oh I didn't even see this thread.  I know my pick doesn't count.

Best choice is Trump 270.  Its not that I predict it will be 270, its just that there are several scenarios where we hit 270.

Also, please note that faithless electors are real.  We won't know the true tally until the electors actually vote in December.  In 2016, Hillary suffered 5 faithless electors and Trump had 0.  Biden could reach 274 on election nite, but suffer 5 faithless electors and actually not reach 270.  That would mean congress picks.

See below

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Final

Biden

Poster FKA        271
Jerryskids        281
Fandaddy        285
SuperMike        302
Fireballer        324
Mike Honcho        334
HTH                335
Posty        339
mtskibum        347
Herbivore      351
Taco        10000

Trump

 Biff        275
BufordT        283
Nospk        300
TimmySmith        304
DonS        306
TBAYXXXVII        307
MookZ                310
Shore Patrol        312
Reality        313
Alias          318
Kopy        320
Util99        326
Voltaire        328
Cdub100        334
RsderHatersRev        362
Dizkneelande        370
Googins        405

 

These three came in late but I was not around last night to call it so if one of them would have won I will give one tooth to the real winner above and a second one to the late guess that was closer. 

Latecomers
Riversco   Trump 270
OldSchool   Trump 278
Drobs           Trump 381

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I guess RIF- reading is fundamental and I should have read the due date.

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316 thanks to Minnesota 

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51 minutes ago, joneo said:

316 thanks to Minnesota 

Way late. Sorry

 

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It looks like Biden has 290 now with 34 to go.  So it is between Fandaddy, SuperMike, and Fireballer.   I will figure it out once AK, NC and GA declares.  

 

Poster FKA        271
Jerryskids        281

Fandaddy        285
SuperMike        302
Fireballer        324

Mike Honcho        334
HTH                335
Posty        339
mtskibum        347
Herbivore      351
Taco        10000

Trump

 Biff        275
BufordT        283
Nospk        300
TimmySmith        304
DonS        306
TBAYXXXVII        307
MookZ                310
Shore Patrol        312
Reality        313
Alias          318
Kopy        320
Util99        326
Voltaire        328
Cdub100        334
RsderHatersRev        362
Dizkneelande        370
Googins        405

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Looking like 306.  Congrats to Supermike!!! PM me your address.

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