Would you Rather have $100,000 guaranteed or a 50/50 chance at $100,000,000

[bostonlager 2,678]

[edjr 6,869]

I have 100k. I'll take the chance at FU money

[nobody 2,865]

50/50 is a pretty easy choice for me.  100k won't change my life.  100 million would.  Plus the EV of the 100 million option is so much higher.

[Strike 5,973]

What they said. 

[RaiderHaters Revenge 4,524]

Hell if it was 100k vs anything more than 250k you would be an idiot to take the 100

[TimmySmith 2,783]

I'll bet you could sell chances and make 20 Million. 

[bandrus1 413]

I'll take $100,000 it pays off the rest my house and gives me 40k to do whatever with

 

Edit it's 100 million thought it was 1 million

 

I'll take the 50 50 shot

[bostonlager 2,678]

I guess this one was a dumb question. Let me put my thinking cap on and see if I can come up with something better involving toes and ball bags. 

[jerryskids 7,050]

12 minutes ago, nobody said:

50/50 is a pretty easy choice for me.  100k won't change my life.  100 million would.  Plus the EV of the 100 million option is so much higher.

Yeah you'd need an EV near 100k to consider the guaranteed amount, at that level.

[Utilit99 4,099]

On a smaller scale this is the whole premise behind Deal or no Deal. I used to love that show. I saw some dude on there once who had two amounts left. One was $500,000 and the other was like $10 and he was offered something around $250,000 and he turned it down for one more round. Needless to say, his case had the $10 in it. The dude actually should have quit way before that but got seriously lucky like 3 times in a row. His family and friends and wife were screaming at him to take the offer and he didn't, and he lost. That was so fvcking uncomfortable when that happened, the cameras did not stay on for long after that debacle. It was exit.

[edjr 6,869]

15 minutes ago, RaiderHaters Revenge said:

Hell if it was 100k vs anything more than 250k you would be an idiot to take the 100

Nah, that's dumb to say. Not everyone in the word is rich like we are here. 100k is A LOT of money for a lot of people

[Utilit99 4,099]

5 minutes ago, edjr said:

Nah, that's dumb to say. Not everyone in the word is rich like we are here. 100k is A LOT of money for a lot of people

The only way $100,000 is not a lot of money is if you have like $10mil in your bank account. Also the decision depends on your age and life situation.

I would easily take a sure $100k over a 50-50 chance at $300k. That should be the question. Where is that cutoff point that you would roll the dice?

[fandandy 3,313]

11 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

I guess this one was a dumb question. Let me put my thinking cap on and see if I can come up with something better involving toes and ball bags. 

Would you turn your fingers to cacks and your toes to ball bags for 100 million?

[The Elevator Killer 710]

Just now, fandandy said:

Would you turn your fingers to cacks and your toes to ball bags for 100 million?

I would let Magic Johnson bleed in my mouth for 100 Million. 

[edjr 6,869]

10 minutes ago, The Elevator Killer said:

I would let Magic Johnson bleed in my mouth for 100 Million. 

Uranus?

[Vikings4ever 568]

Statistically, the chance at 100 million is easily the best bet.

But if it ever were to happen, you only get 1 chance. It takes a lot of balls to turn down 100K for a 50/50 shot.

[The Elevator Killer 710]

20 minutes ago, edjr said:

Uranus?

Why do you have to bring a gas giant into this? 

[Strike 5,973]

1 minute ago, Vikings4ever said:

Statistically, the chance at 100 million is easily the best bet.

But if it ever were to happen, you only get 1 chance. It takes a lot of balls to turn down 100K for a 50/50 shot.

it really doesn't.  100k isn't going to materially change my life in the least.  100 million would.  Honestly, anyone who's an adult over 30 who would  take 100k would be the type of person who would blow it in a year or two at most anyways. 

[Kopy 589]

So far, I'll admit. I'm the 1 vote for 100k.

But I'm very conservative, not a gambler. And at 42 years old. 100k would pay off the rest of my mortgage on a house that was built in 1983, is still in great shape. And that I'm fairly certain I'm gonna die in. And also pay off my 2015 Toyota Tacoma. That's still in excellent shape, and am determined to put 300k on it before i buy a new one.

I got a halfway decent job, and don't mind the work routine.

Give me the guarantee to make my life easy, over the gamble. I didn't even think twice.

 

[RaiderHaters Revenge 4,524]

9 minutes ago, Kopy said:

So far, I'll admit. I'm the 1 vote for 100k.

But I'm very conservative, not a gambler. And at 42 years old. 100k would pay off the rest of my mortgage on a house that was built in 1983, is still in great shape. And that I'm fairly certain I'm gonna die in. And also pay off my 2015 Toyota Tacoma. That's still in excellent shape, and am determined to put 300k on it before i buy a new one.

I got a halfway decent job, and don't mind the work routine.

Give me the guarantee to make my life easy, over the gamble. I didn't even think twice.

 

you arent considering one major factor

imagine the biatches you can get with 100 mil

[MDC 7,815]

9 minutes ago, Kopy said:

So far, I'll admit. I'm the 1 vote for 100k.

But I'm very conservative, not a gambler. And at 42 years old. 100k would pay off the rest of my mortgage on a house that was built in 1983, is still in great shape. And that I'm fairly certain I'm gonna die in. And also pay off my 2015 Toyota Tacoma. That's still in excellent shape, and am determined to put 300k on it before i buy a new one.

I got a halfway decent job, and don't mind the work routine.

Give me the guarantee to make my life easy, over the gamble. I didn't even think twice.

 

I’m pretty close to where you are on this. If the discussion were $100k vs. $1m or even $5m I’d probably agree with you. 

$100m is ridiculous “set your entire family and grandkids” money. I’d have to roll the dice on that.

[nobody 2,865]

23 minutes ago, Kopy said:

So far, I'll admit. I'm the 1 vote for 100k.

But I'm very conservative, not a gambler. And at 42 years old. 100k would pay off the rest of my mortgage on a house that was built in 1983, is still in great shape. And that I'm fairly certain I'm gonna die in. And also pay off my 2015 Toyota Tacoma. That's still in excellent shape, and am determined to put 300k on it before i buy a new one.

I got a halfway decent job, and don't mind the work routine.

Give me the guarantee to make my life easy, over the gamble. I didn't even think twice.

 

If 100k would make a significant difference in your life, you absolutely shouldn't gamble that away.

[vuduchile 1,947]

I’d take the 50/50 shot, then turn around and sell it to one of you rich degenerates for $5M.  

[frank 2,338]

1 hour ago, RaiderHaters Revenge said:

you arent considering one major factor

imagine the biatches you can get with 100 mil

200 chicks at the same time.

[supermike80 2,066]

2 hours ago, Utilit99 said:

On a smaller scale this is the whole premise behind Deal or no Deal. I used to love that show. I saw some dude on there once who had two amounts left. One was $500,000 and the other was like $10 and he was offered something around $250,000 and he turned it down for one more round. Needless to say, his case had the $10 in it. The dude actually should have quit way before that but got seriously lucky like 3 times in a row. His family and friends and wife were screaming at him to take the offer and he didn't, and he lost. That was so fvcking uncomfortable when that happened, the cameras did not stay on for long after that debacle. It was exit.

Then was there like 2 FOCKING hours of family BS and stupid stuff and general time wasting before they opened another case?

God I hated that show.  It started out great.  Bunch of silver briefcases held by hot chicks....Pick numbers.."banker" makes offer etc etc....Then it morphed into this horrible unwatchable human interest game show where one game would last 2 days.  

Screw that

[posty 2,806]

3 hours ago, bostonlager said:

I guess this one was a dumb question. Let me put my thinking cap on and see if I can come up with something better involving toes and ball bags. 

I think you needed something for those that lost the 50/50...  Like instant death to five members of your family and death to the one taking the 50/50 chance after one week of torture 24/7...

Having it where you either get $0 or $100k or $100m, you would be silly to not go for the big one without any consequences...

[tanatastic 2,062]

Tough one. Normally I always say take the bird in hand but that’s a ton at great odds. I’m a very naturally unlucky person though so I’d prob still take the 100k. That would buy me maybe the front door of a house or like maybe a run down shed with rotting wood or something.

[edjr 6,869]

14 minutes ago, tanatastic said:

Tough one. Normally I always say take the bird in hand but that’s a ton at great odds. I’m a very naturally unlucky person though so I’d prob still take the 100k. That would buy me maybe the front door of a house or like maybe a run down shed with rotting wood or something.

My dad knew I was going to the casino a month or so back, gave me $25 to put on red.  Lost

[KayJay1971 239]

1 hour ago, tanatastic said:

Tough one. Normally I always say take the bird in hand but that’s a ton at great odds. I’m a very naturally unlucky person though so I’d prob still take the 100k. That would buy me maybe the front door of a house or like maybe a run down shed with rotting wood or something.

I am very unlucky at gambling as well. I would take the 100k and go travel to some far off places, do some things to my house that we want to get done, and put some money in the bank. I'll take guaranteed money every single day thank you. 

[Cruzer 1,996]

Not hesitation, let's roll the dice for $100m.

[frank 2,338]

Choose your cutoff point, flip a coin, and post your reaction below. 

I’ll say 1,000,000. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[iam90sbaby 2,725]

I'll take the guaranteed money.

[5-Points 3,747]

Tough call but I gotta go with the guaranteed 100 large. It would pay down enough debt to make it possible for some lifestyle changes wrt work-life balance. That's good enough for me. Bird in the hand and all. 

[listen2me 23 1,948]

Im a gambler.  But it seems rather easy. The 50 50.  But move that number to 10 mill and id think about it more.  

100 mill is a lot of money tax free lump sum.  

[titans&bucs&bearsohmy! 2,745]

100k would buy me a nice house in the Philippines. But i gotta take the coin flip at fock off money. 

[The PosterFormerlyKnownAs 78]

negotiate.

Take the 50/50 odds on 100M, and then offer the other person a guaranteed 100M if they give you 20M. 

[Utilit99 4,099]

On 3/3/2020 at 1:52 PM, edjr said:

My dad knew I was going to the casino a month or so back, gave me $25 to put on red.  Lost

Did you give him 50 bucks and tell him he won?

[edjr 6,869]

1 hour ago, Utilit99 said:

Did you give him 50 bucks and tell him he won?

No. I'm a terrible son.

[Utilit99 4,099]

57 minutes ago, edjr said:

No. I'm a terrible son.

Yes you are. Shame on you.

[Mookz 1,367]

I'd rather take the 50/50 chance, with one caveat:  I would have to win the $100M.  Otherwise I would go with the guaranteed money.